Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and also decreased its expected sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the price of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has produced a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.


"Renewable products' list prices have actually been adversely impacted by a significant reduction in (the) diesel price during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and eco-friendly item market value premiums have stayed weak," the company included.


Industry executives and experts have said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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